As if there are not enough things going on, Trump announced just before yesterday's close that he would now be placing tariffs on European Union goods, including aircraft, clothing, whisky, cheese, yogurt and agricultural products. Who buys aircraft from Europe? US Airlines do, that's who. And who ends up paying for the additional cost of the planes they buy? I'll give you a hint – it isn't Mexico!
So, as if the Dow Transports didn't have enough troubles, this is going to really put them in technical trouble – along with all the indexes as they are close to failing their 200-day moving averages which, on the S&P 500, is 2,850 – also the mid-point we've been telling you would true up on the S&P chart since the beginning of summer thanks to our Fabulous 5% Rule™:
Back in our August 8th PSW Report, we noted the following bounce lines for our indexes (colors reflect current positions):
- Dow 25,000 is the mid-point and bounce lines are 25,550 (weak) and 26,100 (strong)
- S&P 2,850 is the mid-point and bounce lines are 2,880 (weak) and 2,910 (strong)
- Nasdaq 7,200 is the mid-point and bounce lines are 7,360 (weak) and 7,520 (strong)
- Russell 1,440 is the mid-point and bounce lines are 1,472 (weak) and 1,504 (strong)
I had to change S&P 2,880 and Russell 1,472 from green to black (we're right at the lines) but, otherwise, we're right where we are (2 boxes weaker) 2 months ago and that's right where we were two months before that and, in fact, 2 YEARS before that. This market has gone nowhere during the Trump Error – nowhere at all!